Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. GPS News .




WAR REPORT
West's best Syria option could be limited strikes: analysis
by Staff Writers
Brussels, Brussels Capital Region (AFP) Aug 26, 2013


An image grab taken from a video shows an opposition fighter firing an rocket propelled grenade (RPG) on August 26, 2013 during clashes with regime forces over the strategic area of Khanasser, situated on the only road linking Aleppo to central Syria. Rebels had in recent days captured several villages in Aleppo province, much of which is already in the hands of anti-regime fighters, before taking Khanasser, situated on the highway to Hama in central Syria, thus cutting the army's only supply route to the northern province. Photo courtesy AFP.

Western powers have few military options in Syria but limited long-range missile strikes may be the best way of making President Bashar al-Assad pay for his alleged use of chemical weapons.

The United States, Britain and France have all warned that they cannot let pass unchallenged a poison gas attack last week in a Damascus suburb which has left hundreds of people dead, according to medical and opposition sources.

However, military action is full of risk and the emphasis has to be on avoiding escalation in a conflict which the United Nations says has already cost more than 100,000 lives and which has stoked sectarian tensions across the region, analysts said.

"We are in a situation where... no Western power wants to intervene," said Vivien Pertusot, head of the French Institute of International Relations in Brussels.

"But the use of chemical weapons, if confirmed, forces them to intervene, to do something," he said as UN experts headed for the site in Damascus on Monday.

Top US military officials, however, have warned repeatedly of the danger of getting sucked into the conflict in Syria, arguing that no-fly-zones and attacks on Assad's chemical weapons sites would need a long-term and costly commitment.

Short of that sort of involvement, it is most likely the United States and its close allies will rely on long-range cruise missiles to target Assad's military assets, analysts said.

"The objective is punitive, not regime change, not to tip the balance in favour of the rebels," said Jonathan Paris, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council think-tank.

The West must act but must also make clear this is a limited intervention, designed to punish Assad and protect civilians, Paris said.

This will say that "never again that you can get away with an unprovoked chemical attack on civilians," he said.

"If you don't do this, then it gives a licence to Assad and to any other dictator."

Markus Kaim at the Berlin-based SWP think-tank, said no-fly and buffer zones were "too risky" while the object had to be to convey a political message to Assad.

The "only realistic option is attacks from the sea against amunition depots and the command structure of the Syrian army," Kaim said.

Long-range missiles fired from US planes could also be used, to minimise the risk to US or allied pilots from Syria's formidable air defences, analysts said.

That has to be a key consideration -- heavy loss of aircraft and crew could quickly test the resolve of a West grown tired of the "global war on terror" and the bloody, inconclusive wars in in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Assad made no empty threat Monday when he said Washington faced failure if it attacked Syria, as it had in Vietnam.

"Yes, it is true, the great powers can wage wars but can they win them?" he asked defiantly.

Russia's blunt warning of the "extremely dangerous consequences" of Western military action highlighted the political and strategic stakes involved.

Both Paris and Pertusot said the West would not need to seek UN approval -- it might provide welcome political cover but Russia would almost certainly veto it -- given the precedent of the US-led bombing campaign in Kosovo in 1999 to force the withdrawal of Serb forces.

Significantly, US officials were looking at the Kosovo operation as a possible blueprint for strikes on Syria without a UN mandate.

The administration would also need to weigh up the possible effects that a bombing campaign on Syria would have on immediate neighbours countries such as Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey as well as Egypt.

.


Related Links






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








WAR REPORT
Protest against Iraq PM blocks highway to Syria, Jorda
Ramadi, Iraq (AFP) Dec 23, 2012
About 2,000 Iraqi protesters, demanding the ouster of premier Nuri al-Maliki, blocked on Sunday a highway in western Iraq leading to Syria and Jordan, an AFP correspondent reported. The protesters, including local officials, religious and tribal leaders, turned out in Ramadi, the capital of Sunni province of Anbar, to demonstrate against the arrest of nine guards of Finance Minister Rafa al- ... read more


WAR REPORT
Crop pests moving polewards through global warming

New Zealand wants answers on milk 'botulism botch-up'

Cattle ranching goes green in the Brazilian Amazon

Study: Ogallala Aquifer being drained by U.S. farmers

WAR REPORT
How brain microcircuits integrate information from different senses

Scientists Find Asymmetry in Topological Insulators

Speed limit set for ultrafast electrical switch

NRL Researchers Discover Novel Material for Cooling of Electronic Devices

WAR REPORT
NASA Crashes Helicopter to Study Safety

EU ready to compromise over airline carbon tax: EU sources

U.S. aerial tanker refueling program said well on track

Czechs to extend Swedish Gripen fighter jet lease

WAR REPORT
US auto sales accelerate to best pace since 2007

Beijing addresses vehicle emissions

Head-up display for cars projects navigation app onto windshield

Chinese auto market to double by 2019: study

WAR REPORT
Nepal's smugglers cash in on India's love of gold

China's Li stresses ASEAN trade, downplays rows

British home secretary introduces bill to fight 'modern slavery'

Despite hiccups, Latin America heading for growth

WAR REPORT
African desert plantations could help carbon capture

To protect Amazon, Colombia enlarges nature reserve

Brazil Amazon town takes a stand against deforestation

Rising deforestation sparks concern in Brazil Amazon

WAR REPORT
NASA Data Reveals Mega-Canyon under Greenland Ice Sheet

Map carved onto surface of ostrich egg may be oldest showing New World

Thai villagers mistake Google worker for government snoop

Norway says no to Apple request to photograph Oslo for 3-D maps

WAR REPORT
Toxic nanoparticles might be entering human food supply

Plasma-treated nano filters help purify world water supply

Graphene nanoscrolls are formed by decoration of magnetic nanoparticles

New tests for determining health and environmental effects of nanomaterials




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement