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Spoiler alert: Xi unlikely to lose term limit vote
By Joanna CHIU
Beijing (AFP) March 9, 2018

Jung Chang among leading authors blocked from Macau literature festival
Hong Kong (AFP) March 7, 2018 - Three writers -- including bestselling "Wild Swans" author Jung Chang -- will no longer attend the Macau Literary Festival after authorities there said they were likely to be barred, the latest sign of Beijing's hardening line across its territories.

Macau is a semi-autonomous part of China and the move to scupper the writers comes as Beijing ramps up warnings against any challenges to its authority and sovereignty.

London-based Chang has been highly critical of China's political system. Her works, which include an explosive biography of Mao Zedong, have been banned on the mainland.

The two other authors targeted by officials have both written in-depth about North Korea, which counts China as its main ally and diplomatic defender.

"We were informed informally, unofficially, that it was not considered timely that these guests would come to Macau at this moment and that there was a high probability that they would not be allowed to enter Macau," the festival's co-founder and programme director H�lder Beja told AFP.

Beja said the information had come from "the relevant authorities" but did not want to expand further.

He confirmed that the authors had been informed and would now not attend the event which will kick off Monday.

"We advised them not to come because we did not want to put them in that position," Beja told AFP.

Some pro-democracy activists and Hong Kong journalists have in the past been barred from entering Macau, where the partially elected local government is loyal to Beijing.

New York-based author and investigative journalist Suki Kim, who went undercover to write a bestselling book about life in North Korea, was one of the three writers to fall foul of authorities, says Beja.

The third was James Church, a pseudonym used by a former Western intelligence officer who has written a series of novels about a fictional North Korean policeman called Inspector O.

Beja said Church had been set to speak publicly about his work at the festival while Chang and Kim would also have talked about their major titles.

A report from China's rubber-stamp legislature Monday omitted language supporting the political autonomy of Hong Kong and Macau that had featured prominently in previous years, seen as a signal of a hardening stance.

Beja said he had never before experienced interference since the event first started in 2012.

Better-known as a gambling enclave, Macau has a thriving arts scene and the festival pulled in 15,000 visitors last year.

Hong Kong PEN, a literary campaign group which defends freedom of expression, described the author ban as "deplorable".

"We urge the Macau administration not to use access to their city as a covert tool of political control in determining what kind of books are deemed acceptable," it said in a statement.

The Macau government had no immediate response when contacted by AFP for comment.

Public pressure, heated debate and a nail-biting vote: Don't expect any of that when Chinese legislators cast historic ballots on lifting presidential term limits on Sunday.

The rubber-stamp National People's Congress has never voted against anything the Communist Party has imposed on the legislature in its half-century of existence.

President Xi Jinping is thus all but certain to secure a path toward ruling the world's second largest economy for life, but any legislator who may be secretly unhappy with the diktat has ways to discreetly express disapproval.

Experts explain to AFP how the historic vote might go down:

- How does the secretive process unfold? -

The nearly 3,000 legislators of the National People's Congress include everyone from local party cadres to billionaires such as Tencent CEO Pony Ma.

But they fill a mostly ceremonial role. The real decisions are made by the Communist Party months in advance.

The term limit proposal was kept secret until it was revealed in a state media report on February 25, a week before the legislature's opening session.

The party later disclosed that Xi had presided over a meeting of the Politburo in September during which the leadership decided to revise the constitution.

The party said it then sought proposals and opinions, culminating in a decision in late January to introduce constitutional amendments at the NPC.

In addition to abolishing presidential term limits, the amendments include the rollout of a national anti-graft body, a larger role for the Communist Party and the addition of Xi's eponymous political philosophy: "Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era."

- How do they vote? -

Delegates will convene for a plenary meeting on Sunday afternoon. Ballots will be distributed and each delegate will mark one of the following options: for, against or abstain.

They will then slip their votes in ballot boxes, and counting will begin. The proposal will be approved if at least two-thirds of the delegates vote in favour of the draft amendment.

"The convention is to vote on the amendment as a whole so there won't be a separate vote on the term limit," said Wei Changhao, editor of the National People's Congress Observer.

- Protest votes? -

When Xi was elected president in 2013, he received 2,952 votes, with one against and three abstentions -- a 99.86 percent approval rating.

Since the NPC's founding in 1954, it has never voted down a proposal. But analysts say delegates could abstain, since the voting is supposed to be anonymous -- at least officially.

"A significant number of 'no' votes or even abstentions would be a gasp-worthy event. Failure to reach the needed two-thirds majority would be faint-worthy," said Margaret Lewis, a law professor at Seton Hall University in New York.

Legislators have cast negative ballots in the past.

In 2013, some 500 voted against the budget. During Jiang Zemin's presidency, around a third had voted against a report on the prosecutor's office, according to Jean-Pierre Cabestan, China politics specialist at Hong Kong Baptist University.

But Ling Li, fellow at the Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna, said there is no suspense.

"If we started to doubt it, that would mean the regime had changed," Li said.


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SINO DAILY
Historic meeting lauds lifetime power for Xi
Beijing (AFP) March 5, 2018
Thousands of Chinese legislators erupted into enthusiastic applause on Monday over plans to give President Xi Jinping a lifetime mandate to mould the Asian giant into a global superpower. China's rubber-stamp parliament met in the imposing Great Hall of the People for an annual session that will make Xi the most powerful leader since Mao Zedong, concentrating the growing might of the military, economy and state in the hands of one man. As Xi looked on from a stage dominated by mostly male party ... read more

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