. GPS News .




.
POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: U.S. economy too few jobs
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Nov 4, 2011

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

The U.S. economy added only 80,000 jobs in October, disappointing forecasters who expected 95,000 to be added. The economy appears stuck in low gear and unable to make a real dent in the figure of nearly 14 million unemployed.

Unemployment was down to 9.0 percent from 9.1 percent the previous month. A change that wasn't significant given that many adults remain on the sidelines and too discouraged to look for work.

Wholesale and retail trade, healthcare and social services, manufacturing and leisure and hospitality added jobs, whereas telecommunications, banking and securities posted losses. Information technology gained and financial services lost positions in September but both sectors posted losses for the entire third quarter reflecting broader layoffs in those sectors with more ahead.

Government employment fell by 24,000 and private-sector jobs added 104,000.

Jobs creation will remain inadequate to keep unemployment from falling in the months ahead, especially considering the mass layoffs recently announced, cost cutting by many large multinationals. More hospitable exchange rate and regulatory environments abroad continue to encourage outsourcing.

Such week jobs growth is inadequate to appreciably dent unemployment -- at least 130,000 additional jobs are needed each month to keep up with growth in the adult population. Many adults are sitting on the sidelines and not looking for work and aren't counted among the unemployed.

Factoring in those discouraged adults and others working part time for lack of full-time opportunities, the unemployment rate is about 16.2 percent. Adding college graduates in low-skill positions, like counterwork at Starbucks, and underemployment is even higher.

The economy must add 13.3 million jobs over the next three years -- 368,000 each month -- to bring unemployment down to 6 percent. Considering continuing layoffs at state and local governments and federal spending cuts, private-sector jobs must increase about 400,000 a month to accomplish that goal.

Growth in the range of 4-5 percent is needed to get unemployment down to 6 percent over the next several years. In 2011, the economy has been growing at about 2 percent, and that pace is expected to continue through next year.

Jobs were added in recent months and unemployment remained steady only because businesses have been foregoing opportunities to increase productivity. Inadequate investment in labor saving technology, though keeping the headline unemployment number from rising too much, is an ominous sign of recession. Ultimately, employers will slash payrolls to maintain profits and new layoffs appear in the offing. New unemployment claims continue to hover around 400,000 per week.

Growth is weak and jobs are in jeopardy, because temporary tax cuts, stimulus spending, large federal deficits, expensive and ineffective business regulations and increased healthcare mandates and costs don't address structural problems holding back dynamic growth and jobs creation -- the huge trade deficit and dysfunctional energy policies.

Oil and trade with China account for nearly the entire $550 billion trade deficit. This deficit is a tax on domestic demand that erases the benefits of tax cuts and stimulus spending.

Simply, dollars sent abroad to purchase oil and consumer goods from China, that don't return to purchase U.S. exports, are lost purchasing power. Consequently, the U.S. economy is expanding at less than 1 percent a year instead of the 5 percent pace that is possible after emerging from a deep recession and with such high unemployment.

Without prompt efforts to produce more domestic oil, redress the trade imbalance with China, relax burdensome business regulations, and curb health care mandates and costs, the U.S. economy cannot grow and create enough jobs.

(Peter Morici is a professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland School, and former chief economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

Related Links
The Economy




.
.
Get Our Free Newsletters Via Email
...
Buy Advertising Editorial Enquiries






.

. Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle



POLITICAL ECONOMY
NGOs complain poor left with 'crumbs' at G20
Cannes, France (AFP) Nov 4, 2011
Non-governmental organisations expressed disappointment Friday that the poor had been left with "crumbs" as Greece and the eurozone crisis hijacked the attention of leaders at a G20 summit. While they welcomed that some nations led by France vowed to pursue a tax on financial transactions to help raise funds for anti-poverty and development efforts, they complained that Europe's woes had dom ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Cultural thirst drives China's high-end tea boom

Asia's largest wine fair kicks off in Hong Kong

Cattle parasite vaccine offers hope to world's poorest farmers

Cambodian floods spark shortage of rat meat: PM

POLITICAL ECONOMY
The world's most efficient flexible OLED on plastic

AMD cutting 10 percent of workforce

A KAIST research team has developed a fully functional flexible memory

UCSB physicists identify room temperature quantum bits in widely used semiconductor

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Aviation grappling with new taxes and rules: AAPA

EU sticks to airline carbon rules despite UN opposition

Asia airline body raps EU plan for carbon tax

OGC Team Produces Winning Single European Sky Aviation Proposal

POLITICAL ECONOMY
US flying car maker eyes India, Brazil, China

GM says may block Saab sale to Chinese companies

Toyota, Nissan extend Thai flood production halts

Volkswagen takes last hurdle in acquisition of MAN

POLITICAL ECONOMY
China says imports to equal exports over five years

N. Korea mineral exports to China triple: report

Kirin takes control of Brazilian brewer Schincariol

Peru forges ahead with gold, copper mine

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Forests not keeping pace with climate change

Niger capital's 'green lung' facing suffocation

Savannas, forests in a battle of the biomes

Gibson Guitar boss backs tough timber trade rules

POLITICAL ECONOMY
NASA Launches JPL-Built Earth Science Experiment

Halloween Weekend Snow Paints a Ghostly Picture in the U.S. Northeast

Landsat's TIRS Instrument Comes Out of First Round of Thermal Vacuum Testing

Small but agile Proba-1 reaches 10 years in orbit

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Graphene grows better on certain copper crystals

New method of growing high-quality graphene promising for next-gen technology

Giant flakes make graphene oxide gel

Amorphous diamond, a new super-hard form of carbon created under ultrahigh pressure


.

The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2011 - Space Media Network. AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement