Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. GPS News .




SUPERPOWERS
Outside View: Three New Year's wishes
by Harlan Ullman
Washington (UPI) Jan 8, 2013


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

A week after New Year's Day isn't too late for making wishes for 2014.

Peace in Syria, Iraq and the Middle East looms large in the wishful category. So, too, does a successful agreement that effectively ensures Iran won't obtain nuclear weapons. And resolution of the conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan and India would greatly contribute to the global good.

Some would consider these wishes fantasy although, through U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry's indefatigable persistence, efforts in Iran and the Arab-Israeli-Palestinian conflict could bear fruit. We should know those results within several months.

If progress isn't sustained in both, the outlook for 2014 won't be a happy one.

For the United States, here are three wishes for '14. First, President Barack Obama needs to regroup, refresh his intellectual powers and set out an agenda based on several big ideas. Hopefully, his Hawaiian vacation charged his batteries. The next two wishes constitute big ideas he might consider.

At best, the U.S. economy is struggling. Sustained by the Federal Reserve's pumping of nearly $1 trillion a year into the economy by buying back bonds and debt, artificially low interest rates and corporations loaded with cash, the stock market has soared to record heights. Yet, annual growth is modest at best; unemployment high; and wealth and income disparity are likely to be (wrongly) elevated to key political issues framing the 2014 congressional elections.

Urgently needed is a major program to modernize the nation's infrastructure for the 21st century. Frequently recommended in this column is a private sector-led infrastructure bank capitalized to about $1 trillion through 30-year debt offerings incentivized by interest rates 2 or 3 percent above prime and paid for by toll and user fees generated from modernizing infrastructure from the power grid to Internet to ports, highways and education.

Such an effort will put the U.S. economy and the country on sounder footing for decades. Unfortunately, creating a bank will require strong and courageous leadership, qualities that seem to have gone on holiday in Washington.

Third is the wish for a foreign and national security policy Obama doctrine. Leading from behind isn't it and the strategic pivot to Asia, vacillations over whether to aid the Syrian opposition and the deterioration of the Iraqi state threatened by the emergence of a new al-Qaida in the form of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria haven't reassured friends and allies or deterred potential adversaries.

Presidential doctrines aren't new. George Washington warned of permanent foreign alliances. James Monroe declared the Western Hemisphere off-limits to further European colonization. More recently, Dwight Eisenhower had a doctrine. And Richard Nixon went a step further with two.

The Nixon Doctrine was the better known. It argued that regional states needed to be concerned with regional security issues while the United States would provide the larger geostrategic umbrella, namely dealing with the Soviet Union and global issues. A corollary or linchpin was the opening to China and triangle politics to counterbalance the Soviet Union through rapprochement between Beijing and Washington.

Nixon's second doctrine was the "Twin Pillar Policy" in the Persian Gulf built on de facto alliances with Iran under the shah and Saudi Arabia. The policy was based on the mutual fear and threat posed by the Soviet Union. However, the Sunni-Shiite rivalry was contained because, and despite justified criticism, as autocratic states, Iran and Saudi Arabia could ensure greater interests of security overrode competing religious ideologies.

Today, Obama needs a doctrine based on cooperation and coordination in which the United States is the facilitator and critical ingredient in dealing with other states based on mutual and common interests. More to the point, he needs to fashion not a two-pillar but three-pillar doctrine for the Middle East that brings together the Sunni and Shiite states along with Israel. The common glue is the threat of contagion of radical Islam in the form of new al-Qaida groups and the ISIS.

Given profoundly opposite stands taken vis-a-vis Syria by the United States and Saudi Arabia and Qatar, squaring this circle will be difficult. But it can be done. Russia can play a positive role. The key is linking Syria to Iran and then to the Arab-Israeli conflict.

The agreement with Iran if successful will lift sanctions. Then, given a road map for Syria, Iran might be persuaded to withdraw Hezbollah putting great pressure on Syrian President Bashar Assad to negotiate. Should that be accomplished, then Kerry's efforts to bring a successful conclusion to the Arab-Israeli might follow.

Many will argue this is wishful thinking in the extreme but sometimes that is what it takes to create and impose useful doctrines. And one is surely needed now.

(Harlan Ullman is chairman of the Killowen Groupm, which advises leaders of government and business, and senior adviser at Washington's Atlantic Council.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

.


Related Links
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








SUPERPOWERS
Ishihara backs sacked military chief for Tokyo governor
Tokyo (AFP) Jan 07, 2014
China-baiting former Tokyo governor Shintaro Ishihara on Tuesday threw his weight behind the political ambitions of an ex-military chief who was sacked after insisting Japan was not a World War II aggressor. The acerbic Ishihara, 81, who was governor of Tokyo for 13 years to 2012, said he believed the next leader of the metropolis should be fellow hardline nationalist Toshio Tamogami, the on ... read more


SUPERPOWERS
Over 350 sick in Japan after eating pesticide-tainted food: NHK

New study may aid rearing of stink bugs for biological control

Important mutation discovered in dairy cattle

Chinese scientists create high-yield, salt-resistant rice variety

SUPERPOWERS
Exfoliation method paves way for 2D materials to be used in printable photonics and electronics

Theorists Predict New State of Quantum Matter May Have Big Impact on Electronics

Low-power tunneling transistor for high-performance devices at low voltage

Sharpening the focus in quantum photolithography

SUPERPOWERS
Five killed in US military helicopter crashs in Britain and US

Canada yet to decide which fighter jet will replace CF-18

Two killed, one missing in US Navy helicopter crash

Markets seen shrinking for big-ticket jet fighters

SUPERPOWERS
Chevrolet to roll out 4G-connected cars

Self-driving vehicles offer potential benefits, policy challenges for lawmakers

Google partners with automakers for on-board Android

Toyota to launch 'car of future' in US in 2015

SUPERPOWERS
Most China execs say cannot work with Japan firms: poll

Cambodian police break up garment worker camp

Spanish minister in Panama to end $1.6-bn canal impasse

Finland looks to old foe Russia for new investment

SUPERPOWERS
Brazil moves to evict invaders from Amazon's Awa lands

Indonesia struggles to clean up corrupt forestry sector

Mangrove forests march up Florida coast as killing frosts decrease

With few hard frosts, tropical mangroves push north

SUPERPOWERS
Earth may be heaver than thought due to invisible belt of dark matter

More BARREL Balloons Take to the Skies

China's HD observation satellite opens its eyes

UAE to launch indigenous satellite in 2017

SUPERPOWERS
DNA motor 'walks' along nanotube, transports tiny particle

Cellulose nanocrystals possible 'green' wonder material

Microprinting leads to low-cost artificial cells

New magnetic behavior in nanoparticles could lead to even smaller digital memories




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement