GPS News  
POLITICAL ECONOMY
IMF warns over China's 'dangerous' debt load
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Oct 4, 2016


China's dependence on debt is growing at a "dangerous pace" and it must act to head off a brewing crisis in the world's second largest economy, the IMF warned Tuesday.

The International Monetary Fund also said the country's leaders should kick on with vital reforms or risk a painful correction, adding that Beijing's "unsustainably high" growth goals were adding to the problem.

While the country has made progress in its attempts to recalibrate the driver of growth, the Fund said failure to address structural issues could destroy that work.

The IMF's warning comes weeks after a global central bank watchdog said China's banking sector could be facing an imminent debt crisis, fuelling worries a blowout could send tremors through the world economy.

In an update to its World Economic Outlook, the IMF said: "China continues to make progress with the complex tasks of rebalancing its economy toward consumption and services and permitting market forces a greater role.

"But the economy's dependence on credit is increasing at a dangerous pace, intermediated through an increasingly opaque and complex financial sector."

The IMF said China should rein in the credit growth and cut off support to "unviable" state-owned enterprises, "accepting the associated slower GDP growth".

"By maintaining high near-term growth momentum in this manner, the economy faces a growing misallocation of resources and risks an eventual disruptive adjustment," it said.

China's total debt hit 168.48 trillion yuan ($25 trillion) at the end of last year, equivalent to 249 percent of national GDP, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a top government think tank, has estimated.

And last month the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) -- dubbed the central bank of central banks -- said a gauge of Chinese debt had hit a record high in the first quarter of the year.

Its credit-to-GDP gap reached 30.1 percent in January-March, its highest level ever and far above the 10 percent level associated with risks.

China is seeking to restructure its economy to make the spending power of its nearly 1.4 billion people a key driver for growth, instead of massive government investment and cheap exports.

But the transition is proving painful as growth rates sit at 25-year lows and key indicators continue to come in below par, weighing on the global outlook as the Chinese economy is a key driver for the world.

The economy expanded 6.7 percent in the April-June period, the same as the first three months of the year and slowing from 6.9 percent in 2015 -- its weakest annual rate in a quarter of a century.

The IMF said it expected growth of 6.6 percent in 2016 -- the same as its forecast in July -- slowing to 6.2 percent in 2017 "absent further stimulus".

It also said it saw inflation rising to 2.1 percent this year and three percent over the medium term as slack in the industrial sector and downward pressure on goods prices diminish.


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

Previous Report
POLITICAL ECONOMY
China manufacturing continues rebound in September
Beijing (AFP) Oct 1, 2016
Manufacturing activity in China continued its rebound in September on improving production and demand, government data showed Saturday - a positive sign for the world's second-largest economy. The official purchasing managers' index (PMI) came in at 50.4 for September - exactly the same level as in August, which was its highest since October 2014 - figures from the National Bureau of Stat ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Chinese giant turns to France to meet soaring demand for baby formula

Review of studies finds genetically engineered crops are safe

China removes 13-year-old ban on some US beef products

China removes 13-year-old ban on some US beef products

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Integrating graphene, reduced graphene oxide onto silicon chips at room temperature

Semiconducting inorganic double helix

One-pot synthesis towards sulfur-based organic semiconductors

Seeing energized light-active molecules proves quick work for Argonne scientists

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Russia summons Dutch ambassador over MH17 probe findings

EU 'cautiously optimistic' on global pact to curb aviation emissions

NASA launches back-to-back scientific balloons

Air transport sector at climate juncture

POLITICAL ECONOMY
VW says to pay US suppliers $1.2 bln over Dieselgate

Renault promises total cooperation in emissions probe

Volvo partnership pays off in SuperTruck collaborative effort

Tesla 'on autopilot' crashes on German Autobahn: police

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Canada, China aim to strike free-trade deal

Two top China steelmakers announce merger to combat glut

China to unveil steel merger plans this week: reports

Protesters rally across Germany against mega trade deal

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Gambia announces ban on imported timber, but expert sceptic

Amazon forest fire threatens natives, wildlife in Peru

Borneo loggers swap chainsaws for cheap healthcare

Indonesia, EU, announce historic deal on timber trade

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Van Allen probes spot electron rainfall in atmosphere

METimage: New Weather Data Every 1.7 seconds

Rezatec to develop the use of satellite data in evaluating plant health in UK

Earth Observation Manufacturing, Data Markets Continue Expansion

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Scientists forge nanogold chains with atomic precision

NIST illuminates transfer of nanoscale motion through microscale machine

Electron beam microscope directly writes nanoscale features in liquid with metal ink

A versatile method to pattern functionalized nanowires









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.