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WAR REPORT
EU embargo move boosts Russia plan to arm Assad
by Staff Writers
Moscow (AFP) May 29, 2013


Britain reports new Syria chemical weapons use to UN
United Nations (AFP) May 29, 2013 - Britain last week informed the United Nations of "new incidents" of apparent chemical weapons use in Syria, diplomats said Wednesday.

If confirmed, the attacks would heap further pressure on Western countries supporting Syrian rebels to intervene in the conflict, which the United Nations says has claimed more than 70,000 lives.

President Barack Obama has called the use or movement of chemical weapons a "red line," but has thus far ruled out greater US involvement despite increasing reports of limited chemical attacks by regime forces.

London sent a letter to the world body that included "details of new incidents since April," a Western diplomat said.

Britain and France sent three letters to the world body in April detailing the suspected use of chemical weapons in Syria, including in the embattled Homs region in December 2012.

The United Nations has appointed a team of investigators led by Swedish arms inspector Ake Sellstrom, but they have not been granted permission to enter Syria by President Bashar al-Assad's regime.

"We continue to inform the secretary general and Mr Sellstrom of any information as and when we get information of alleged chemical weapons use," Britain's UN envoy Mark Lyall Grant said, without providing further details.

A top UN envoy said last week there are "mounting reports" of the use of chemical weapons in Syria's civil war and called on the Damascus government to let in UN investigators.

The US administration said on May 15 that it believed small amounts of chemical weapons had been used at least twice in Syria but that it was awaiting full confirmation.

The European Union's decision to lift its arms embargo on the Syrian opposition has provided Russia with a new defence of its controversial weapons deliveries to President Bashar al-Assad's regime.

Russia reacted with fury to the EU's decision Monday -- advocated primarily by Britain and France -- to lift its arms embargo on the rebels fighting to oust Assad.

Moscow, a key backer of Assad, has since escalated its sabre-rattling, announcing it intends to keep its contract to supply the Syrian regime with sophisticated S-300 missiles, which can shoot down both incoming missiles and warplanes.

Russia's Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu implied Wednesday that the EU's decision had untied Moscow's hands, hinting that Russia could now supply weapons banned by international treaties.

"Every decision has two sides. If one side lifts its restrictions, then the other side may no longer feel compelled to keep its previously adopted obligations," Shoigu said while on a visit to Helsinki.

Analysts said the comments reflected the Kremlin's apparent belief that it was obligated to support its biggest Middle East ally in the face of what it perceives as the Arab world and the West's unfair support for the rebels.

One of the biggest questions now is whether Moscow will in fact follow through on its threat to supply Syria with S-300s -- a prospect that even brought Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to Russia for private talks with President Vladimir Putin earlier this month.

Israel has already implied it might wipe out any S-300 shipments with new bombing raids, with Defence Minister Moshe Yaalon warning on Tuesday that Israel would "know what to do" if Russia delivered the missiles to Assad.

Regional expert Alexei Malashenko of the Carnegie Moscow Centre said that "Russia could use the EU embargo to strengthen its own position concerning the S-300 deliveries."

"They are going to use this argument," said Malashenko.

But he added that Russia was unlikely to fulfil its S-300 contract if Moscow and Washington were successful in their ongoing efforts to arrange a Syria peace conference to get the two warring sides engaged in their first round of direct talks.

The prospects for such a meeting at this stage look fleeting because of sharp divisions in the opposition and divergent views in Russia and the West about which regional players should be invited to the talks.

Foreign and Defence Policy Council think-tank chairman Fyodor Lukyanov called the EU embargo lifting and Russia's 3-300s threat a diplomatic "game" that the two sides were playing while the situation on the ground deteriorated.

"You are seeing both sides use the same arguments," Lukyanov said.

"They are saying that in order to push the two sides toward peace, you have to put pressure on the other side," he added.

"And to do that, the European Union is supporting the opposition, and Russia -- Assad."

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