GPS News  
TRADE WARS
Down but not out: fears ease over China's weaker yuan
By Bill SAVADOVE
Shanghai (AFP) Aug 10, 2016


A year ago on Thursday Chinese authorities stunned global markets by devaluing their yuan currency, raising fears the world's second-largest economy was worse off than thought -- but investors are now more sanguine about a weaker "redback".

The normally stable unit was guided down by nearly five percent over a week last August, and has declined steadily since then.

It closed at 6.6430 to the US dollar on Wednesday, not far from its weakest level for almost six years and approaching the rate where authorities held it rock steady between 2008 and 2010, in a bid to escape the turmoil of the global financial crisis.

But unlike the deliberate government policy of the past, financial markets see economic fundamentals as driving the recent decline in the yuan, also known as the renminbi (RMB).

A rise in US interest rates, Britain's vote to exit the European Union and the failed coup in Turkey have all sparked flight to the dollar.

Even so traders and China's business partners still want Beijing to pursue deeper reforms and greater transparency of its currency regime.

"A year on, investors appear slightly more relaxed about movements in the renminbi but we suspect that they remain as wary as ever about trusting Chinese policymakers to keep their word," Capital Economics said in a research report.

Beijing keeps a tight grip on its currency as part of Communist authorities' control mechanisms, as well as worries that sudden inflows or outflows of capital could damage the economy.

The government only allows the yuan to rise or fall two percent on either side of a daily fix on the national foreign exchange market.

Chinese officials have pledged to keep the unit stable, but at the same time gradually move towards making it freely convertible as they seek to secure a greater role in the world financial system.

After years of lobbying, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) late last year finally agreed to include the yuan in its "special drawing rights" reserve currency basket.

"Concerns over the renminbi have eased in recent months and outflows have returned to a more manageable level," Capital Economics said.

Billions of dollars have flooded out of China in the last year, although the torrent has slowed dramatically, with Chinese banks selling $49.0 billion more in foreign exchange than they received in the April-June period, sharply down on the $124.8 billion of the previous three months.

China's foreign exchange reserves fell to $3.2 trillion in July, according to the latest figures, but remain by far the world's largest.

- 'Competitive devaluations' -

The yuan is expected to go lower this year, given the continuing impact of Brexit.

"Global uncertainties are gradually taking a toll," Citic Bank International chief economist Liao Qun told AFP. "And how much longer yuan is going to fall depends on when the euro and pound will bounce back again."

For years Washington criticised China over what officials have said is a grossly undervalued currency, but it has remained relaxed over the yuan's current weakness.

"China has committed to moving in an orderly way to a more market-oriented exchange rate," a senior US Treasury official said on the sidelines of a G20 meeting in July.

"The test will come when there is upward pressure on the RMB and whether China will allow the RMB to appreciate," he told journalists.

Chinese growth is slowing, with gross domestic product expanding 6.7 percent in the second quarter of this year, the same as the previous three months but down from 6.9 percent in 2015.

A weaker currency can help boost exports, and the central rate was fixed at 6.6530 on Wednesday, down almost nine percent on a year previously.

"China's economy is facing a downturn. An undervalued RMB will support China's export performance in the short term," Qin Huanmei, an associate professor at Shanghai Finance University, told AFP.

China and other G20 nations last month reaffirmed a pledge to refrain from "competitive devaluations", repeating a commitment from February when worries over China's weakening currency and slowing economy were rampant.

The People's Bank of China, the central bank, on Friday defended its exchange rate regime, saying it was now weighing the yuan against a basket of currencies rather than just the US dollar to allow market forces to play a greater role.

But some analysts believe authorities are still meddling.

ANZ Banking Group said in a report: "The authorities do exercise discretion at times in setting the fixing to guide the market."

bxs/slb/rb

GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


.


Related Links
Global Trade News






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

Previous Report
TRADE WARS
Putin says 'painstaking work' needed to rebuild Russia-Turkey trade
Saint Petersburg (AFP) Aug 9, 2016
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Tuesday that restoring trade ties with Turkey will take time and work, after his first meeting with counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan since Ankara shot down a Russian warplane last November. Putin insisted that he wanted to see relations with "our Turkish friends" return to previous levels but stressed that it would take time for Moscow to roll back a ser ... read more


TRADE WARS
French wheat output headed for 30-year low

Reinventing French fizz in face of climate change

Rice crops that can save farmers money and cut pollution

Brazilian restaurants turn waste back into food

TRADE WARS
Making magnets flip like cats at room temperature

Scientists find a way of acquiring graphene-like films from salts to boost nanoelectronics

A new generation of electron devices makes waves, trillions of them each second

Next generation of memory chips could be 1,000 times faster

TRADE WARS
MH370 plunged into ocean at high speed: report

Amazon 'Prime' plane takes flight

Malaysia says MH370 pilot flew Indian Ocean route on simulator

US Air Force declares F-35A fighter jet 'combat ready'

TRADE WARS
VW fined by Italy watchdog over 'dieselgate'

A car cocktail: Ford, tequila-maker mix for auto parts

NREL assesses strategies needed for light-duty vehicle greenhouse gas reduction

Chinese media question 'straddling bus' firm

TRADE WARS
Taiwan exports end losing streak with surprise growth

EU hits China, Russia with steel anti-dumping duties

Putin says 'painstaking work' needed to rebuild Russia-Turkey trade

Bitcoin not money, judge rules in victory for backers

TRADE WARS
The missing link in carbon accounting

Rainforest greener during 'dry' season

New model is first to predict tree growth in earliest stages of tree life

Effects of past tropical deforestation will be felt for years to come

TRADE WARS
Russia Plans to Use Atmospheric Satellite 'Sova' to Develop North, Siberia

Study provides a new method to measure the energy of a lightning strike

Migration, hunting patterns of Caspian seals tracked by satellite

Collecting Fingerprints in the Sky

TRADE WARS
New silicon structures could make better biointerfaces

Beating the heat a challenge at the nanoscale

Borrowing from pastry chefs, engineers create nanolayered composites

New nanoscale technologies could revolutionize microscopes, study of disease









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.