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WAR REPORT
Commentary: Bibi: Et Tu Brutus?
by Arnaud De Borchgrave
Washington (UPI) Jun 6, 2011

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

When a joint session of the U.S. Congress gave Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu 29 standing ovations -- four more than U.S. President Barack Obama received for his last State of the Union message -- there was little doubt that Israel is an integral part of the American body politic. It was a hard-line speech by an Israeli on the right of the Israeli spectrum that firmly rejected Obama's proposal for Middle East peace: The pre-1967 war frontier with minor land swaps for both sides.

It was also a demonstration of why the United States cannot continue to pose as a "valid interlocutor" between Israelis and Palestinians. And why former U.S. Sen. George Mitchell, D-Maine, quit as Obama's peace negotiator after two years of long-distance commuting between the Mideast and the United States.

Former six-term U.S. Rep. Cynthia McKinney, D-Ga., but more recently a Green Party candidate, told Iran's "Press TV" she was required to sign, "as were all members of Congress, pledges of support for the military superiority of Israel and for Jerusalem as the capital of Israel." She also claimed her final term in Congress came to an end after the American Israel Public Affairs Committee "funneled money into the campaign of her Democratic Party primary opponent, Hank Johnson.

McKinney's interview to Press TV came on the eve of the annual AIPAC Policy Conference in Washington May 22. It was widely published over the Arab world.

AIPAC, with 100,000 members, is arguably the most powerful lobby in Washington and doesn't have to register as a foreign agent.

The joke on Capitol Hill is that Israel doesn't have to lobby because it's the 51st state. Which Arab governments assume anyway.

With the new merger of the Palestinian authority and Hamas, dedicated to the destruction of Israel, along with civil wars in Libya, Syria and Yemen, as well as the growing influence of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, the "Arab Spring" didn't even last till summer. Reasons enough for Netanyahu to conclude Israel has at least two more years to continue consolidating Israeli settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem.

Complacency didn't last long. The Syrian dictatorship, after killing more than 1,000 of its own people in countrywide anti-regime, pro-democracy demonstrations, organized Palestinian refugees to mark the 44th anniversary of the Arab defeat in the Six Day War by "peacefully" penetrating Israeli defenses on the Golan Heights. Several hundred showed up and ignored Israeli warnings to back off.

Israeli gunfire killed 22, wounded 350. This was clearly a Syrian attempt to detract world attention from its 8-week-long, bloody repression of anti-regime demonstrations. Foreign reporters were kept out but Twitter messages and cellphone news coverage kept the story center stage.

In the West Bank, Palestinians marked the 1967 war's Nakba Day ("catastrophic setback") by demonstrating up and down the separation wall; dozens were injured.

And Netanyahu faced an ugly low upon his return from a U.S. high.

The man who ran Israel's formidable Mossad for eight years is criticizing Netanyahu for ignoring the 2002 Saudi Arabia peace plan -- to which all 22 Arab governments subscribed. Israel was to withdraw to the pre-1967 war frontier with minor rectifications on either side. And all Arab governments agreed that in return they would recognize Israel diplomatically and commercially.

This, essentially, was the plan that Obama dusted off and Netanyahu shelved.

But ex-Mossad chief Meir Dagan is a dagger in Netanyahu's body politic. And Dagan isn't alone. Several former intelligence chiefs are lined up with Dagan. They also know first-hand how anxious Netanyahu is to detract from Palestinian pressure for their own state in the West Bank and Gaza -- by bombing Iran's nuclear installations.

As Dagan put it, "This would mean regional war and in that case you would give Iran the best possible reason to continue its nuclear program."

And the regional challenge that Israel would then face, said the spy chief, "would be impossible." He and his intel colleagues know that Iran has formidable asymmetrical retaliatory capabilities -- from Bahrain, homeport for the U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet, with a local population that is two-thirds Shiite, many of them pro-Iran, to the Hormuz Strait, Qatari and Saudi oil terminals, and Hezbollah and Hamas rockets and missiles.

Dagan, Yuval Diskin, head of Shin Bet, the internal security agency, and Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi, the military chief of staff, all stepped down this year, And Dugan made clear he and his retiring colleagues served as a brake on the gung-ho Bibi Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak.

According to Israeli media reports, a week before retiring, Dagan tried to send a message to the Israeli public to warn about Netanyahu's plans for an attack on Iran. But military censorship blocked any reporting of Dagan's views. He was no sooner officially retired than he evaded the censors.

Haaretz front-paged a commentary by Ari Shavit that said, "It's not the Iranians nor the Palestinians who are keeping Dagan awake at night, but Israel's leadership."

Dagan appeared on stage at Tel Aviv University last week, where he told Shavit he is deeply worried about the next turn of the Palestinian wheel at the U.N. General Assembly in New York next September. This is when the Palestinians will request recognition of a Palestinian state with its pre-1967 war borders.

The vote is expected to be unanimous -- other than two dissenters: The United States and Israel.

This is when Dagan expects Netanyahu to attack Iran. By going public now, he hopes to put the kibosh on the well-rehearsed plan.

Israeli media added other intelligence names against the prime minister, e.g., Amos Yadlin, also retiring as head of military intelligence.

Dagan is no wooly-headed liberal, reported The New York Times. He was first appointed by super hawk Ariel Sharon. He served under three prime ministers and was reappointed twice.

He is credited with major intel operations that destroyed a Syrian nuclear reactor in 2007 and organized the successful assassination of key Hezbollah operatives who were planning to kill Israelis.

Dagan detractors -- and there are many in the ranks of the governing coalition -- accuse him of grandstanding as he prepares a political debut. But by law, after serving as a top spy chief, he has to wait three years before entering the political arena.




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Clinton reserved about French Mideast peace talks
Washington (AFP) June 6, 2011 - US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton gave a cool welcome Monday to a French plan to host a Middle East peace conference, saying it must be linked to a willingness to resume talks.

"The idea of any gathering, conference or meeting has to be linked to a willingness by the parties to resume negotiating," the chief US diplomat said during a press conference with her French counterpart Alain Juppe.

"We strongly support a return to negotiations but we do not think that it would be productive for there to be a conference about returning to negotiations," she said.

Her comments coincided with violent protests that left at least 10 people dead along the Syrian ceasefire line on the 44th anniversary of Israel's seizure of the Golan Heights, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip in the 1967 Middle East war in an event known in Arabic as the "Naksa" or "setback."

Israel and the Palestinians have been at loggerheads over the negotiations, which halted shortly after they were relaunched in Washington in September 2010 when a partial freeze on Israeli settlement construction expired.

Israel refused to renew the freeze and the Palestinians insist they will not hold talks while settlements are being built on land they want for their future state.

Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas has since said his participation in the Paris conference is conditioned on using the lines that existed before the 1967 Six-Day War as the basis for negotiating future borders.

"There has to be a return to negotiations, which will take a lot of persuasion and preliminary work in order to set up a productive meeting between the parties," said Clinton.

"Right now, we're still in a wait-and-see attitude because we don't yet have an insurance form either party that they would return to negotiations."

Juppe, who returned from the region last week, sounded an optimistic note.

"I am rather pleasantly surprised because the Palestinians have reacted positively, the Israelis did not say no and the secretary of state said 'let's wait and see,'" he said.

"The status quo does not benefit anyone. It bodes badly for the UN General Assembly" in September, at which the Palestinians are expected to seek official recognition for their future state, Juppe continued.

During his visit to the region, the French minister raised the possibility of France transforming a scheduled meeting of international donors into a broader peace conference to help relaunch stalled negotiations.

France unveiled the proposal on June 2 for a conference that would be held in late July.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday that Israel is studying the French proposal, but added that he would not consider resuming negotiations with any Palestinians government that includes the Islamist movement Hamas, which last month signed a unity deal with Abbas's Fatah movement.

Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erakat, who also met with Clinton on Monday, said after the meeting that he sees "no difference between what the Americans have said to us and what Juppe has said to us.

I think the problem is not with Juppe ... the problem is with the prime minister of Israel who refuses the two-state solution," Erakat said.

Clinton was later to meet with Israeli negotiator Yitzhak Molcho.





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WAR REPORT
Abbas agrees to peace talks based on 1967 borders
Ramallah, Palestinian Territories (AFP) June 5, 2011
Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas has told France he is ready to attend a Paris peace conference if Israel accepts talks based on the 1967 borders, an aide told AFP on Sunday. Nimr Hammad, a political advisor to Abbas, said the president had told French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe that he agreed officially to France's proposal to host a peace conference in Paris before the end of July. ... read more


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